According to the November USDA report, the expected wheat production in Kazakhstan for the 2026/27 season will be 15.8 million tons. This is higher than the agency's previous estimate, although the final figure remains 18% below last year's actual harvest level.

Yield and Area Indicators

Despite the optimistic forecast dynamics, experts note that current conditions are less favorable than in the previous period. This is due to variable weather conditions, which had less impact on the harvest compared to last year, when production reached 19.3 million tons.

15.8 milliontons of wheat (forecast)
1.40tons per hectare (yield)
11.3 millionhectares (harvest area)
"Last year, wheat accounted for about 70% of the total production of cereals and legumes in Kazakhstan. Although the current wheat harvest is smaller than last year's, it remains above the long-term average."
USDA

Regional Supplies

Changes in Kazakhstan's agriculture also affect neighboring countries. For instance, in 2025, Kyrgyzstan imported 299,000 tons of wheat from Kazakhstan.